NMHC Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions:
Market Indexes
April 2003
| Market Tightness Index1 | Sales Volume Index2 | Equity Financing Index3 | Debt Financing Index4 | |
| Apr. 2003 | 32 | 48 | 51 | 55 |
| Jan. 2003 | 29 | 41 | 52 | 59 |
| Oct. 2002 | 35 | 58 | 62 | 80 |
| Jul. 2002 | 39 | 51 | 65 | 76 |
| Apr. 2002 | 35 | 40 | 48 | 31 |
| Jan. 2002 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 36 |
|
Oct. 2001 |
9 |
19 |
33 |
81 |
|
Jul. 2001 |
22 |
41 |
48 |
65 |
|
Apr. 2001 |
30 |
43 |
45 |
77 |
|
Jan. 2001 |
47 |
49 |
54 |
90 |
|
Oct. 2000 |
50 |
47 |
43 |
60 |
|
Jul. 2000 |
57 |
31 |
45 |
51 |
|
Apr. 2000 |
60 |
37 |
49 |
38 |
|
Jan. 2000 |
43 |
24 |
39 |
6 |
|
Oct. 1999 |
49 |
39 |
39 |
17 |
|
Jul. 1999 |
55 |
44 |
50 |
32 |
The reported index numbers are based on data compiled from quarterly surveys of NMHC members. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, from the previous quarter. The indexes are standard diffusion indexes, so that they have leading indicator properties and are convenient summary measures showing the prevailing direction and scope of changes. They are calculated by taking one-half the difference between positive (tighter markets, higher sales volume, equity financing more available, a better time to borrow) and negative (looser markets, lower sales volume, equity financing less available, a worse time to borrow) responses and adding 50. This produces a series bounded by 0 (if all respondents answered in the negative) and 100 (if all respondents answered in the positive).
1A Market Tightness Index reading above 50 indicates that, on balance, apartment markets around the country are getting tighter; a reading below 50 that market conditions are getting looser; and a reading of 50 indicates market conditions are unchanged.
2A Sales Volume Index reading above 50 indicates that, on balance, sales volume around the country is increasing; a reading below 50 that sales volume is decreasing; and a reading of 50 indicates market conditions are unchanged.
3An Equity Financing Index reading above 50 indicates that, on balance, equity finance is more available; a reading below 50 that equity finance is less available; and a reading of 50 indicates equity finance availability is unchanged.
4A Debt Financing Index reading above 50 indicates that, on balance, borrowing conditions are improving; a reading below 50 that borrowing conditions are worsening; and a reading of 50 indicates borrowing conditions are unchanged.
NMHC Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions
(April 2003)

|
Question #1: How are apartment market conditions in the local markets that you watch? "Tight" markets are defined as those with low vacancies and high rent increases. Conditions obviously vary greatly from place to place, but on balance, apartment market conditions in your markets today are: |
|||
| Apr. 2003 | Jan. 2003 | Apr. 2002 | |
|
Tighter than three months ago |
10% | 4 % | 12% |
|
Looser than three months ago |
46% | 47% | 43% |
|
About unchanged from three months ago |
44% | 49% | 45% |
|
Don't know or not applicable |
0% | 0% | 0% |
|
Question #2: What about sales of apartment properties in the local markets you watch? Compared to three months ago, the sales volume (number of deals) currently is: |
|||
| Apr. 2003 | Jan. 2003 | Apr. 2002 | |
|
Higher than three months ago |
21% | 13% | 11% |
|
Lower than three months ago |
25% | 31% | 31% |
|
About unchanged from three months ago |
54% | 55% | 57% |
|
Don't know or not applicable |
0% | 1% | 1% |
|
Question #3: What about equity financing for apartment acquisition or development? Considering both price and non-price terms, compared to three months ago, equity financing today is: |
|||
| Apr. 2003 | Jan. 2003 | Apr. 2002 | |
|
More available than three months ago |
17% | 13% | 13% |
|
Less available than three months ago |
15% | 9% | 17% |
|
About unchanged from three months ago |
59% | 69% | 64% |
|
Don't know or not applicable |
9% | 9% | 5% |
|
Question #4: What about the conditions for multifamily mortgage borrowing. Considering both interest rates and non-rate terms, compared to three months ago: |
|||
| Apr. 2003 | Jan. 2003 | Apr. 2002 | |
|
Now is a better time to borrow |
26% | 25% | 7% |
|
Now is a worse time to borrow |
17% | 6% | 45% |
|
Conditions are about unchanged |
56% | 65% | 47% |
|
Don't know or not applicable |
2% | 4% | 1% |
|
Question #5: Despite the sluggish economy, demand for owner-occupied houses has been quite strong the last two years and has affected demand for apartment residences. Based on the markets you are most familiar with, to what extent is this still true? |
||
| April 2003 | ||
|
Residents are leaving apartments for homeownership at a faster pace than before. |
27% | |
|
Residents are leaving apartments for homeownership at about the same pace as before. |
54% | |
|
The pace of tenant departures to become homeowners has slowed in the last quarter. |
19% | |
Note: The April 2003 survey was conducted April 14-21, 2003. Sixty-eight CEOs and other senior executives of apartment-related firms nationwide who serve on NMHC's Board of Directors or Advisory Committee responded. The January 2003 survey was conducted January 20-27, 2003; 77 responded. The April 2002 survey was conducted April 8-15, 2002; 75 responded.
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